Document Type

Article

Publication Date

2026

Publication Title

Operations Research Letters

Keywords

supply chain disruptions, cardinality computation, dynamic programming (DP), risk quantification, combinatorial optimization

Abstract

We study the problem of counting disruption scenarios in a supply chain network (SCN), modeled as combinatorial link failures, that violate a performance threshold. Using duality, the violation set is represented as a union of threshold-defined subsets, each characterized by a linear inequality, enabling exact dynamic programming for counting. Under rational coefficients, we derive a pseudo-polynomial dynamic program conditional on the generated inequalities and, for nonnegative coefficients, an exact capped variant. Computational experiments on four-echelon SCNs demonstrate the approach’s effectiveness.

Funding Source

This article was published open access thanks to a transformative agreement between Milner Library and Elsevier.

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

DOI

10.1016/j.orl.2026.107570

Comments

First published in Operations Research Letters (2026): https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orl.2026.107570

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