"Industrial Policy in the Competition Between an Existing Hegemon and a" by Kevin Honglin Zhang
 

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

2-2025

Publication Title

The Chinese Economy

Keywords

Industrial policy (IP), global geopolitics, great power rivalry, US-China economic competition

Abstract

Central to the current US-China geopolitical rivalry is the strategic use of industrial policy (IP) by both countries, which is an unexpected reverse of view on IP. This paper examines the role of IP in the economic competition between the US, the incumbent global hegemon, and China, the rising superpower. Both countries increasingly view IP as essential to winning the rivalry. While the methods differ –more market-driven in the US and more state-led in China - their IP reflects shared goals: securing technological leadership and strengthening national security through self-reliance. China’s IP works well in achieving scale, coordination, and technological catch-up, particularly in manufacturing and infrastructure-based sectors. Its strategy can effectively target national priorities but may limit creativity and dynamic innovation. IP in the US works better in fostering breakthrough innovations in fields like artificial intelligence (AI), biotechnology, and quantum computing. But the US may need to improve its long-term planning and government support for critical technologies like semiconductors and clean energy. The two models are likely to coexist, each dominating different areas of technological competition.

Funding Source

This article was published Open Access thanks to a transformative agreement between Milner Library and Taylor & Francis.

DOI

10.1080/10971475.2025.2469198

Comments

First published in The Chinese Economy: https://doi.org/10.1080/10971475.2025.2469198

This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, and is not altered, transformed, or built upon in any way.

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